vs. Jubilo Iwata (preview)   Leave a comment

Haven’t written too many previews this season due to being busy, but have a little time now to look at what is going to be another tough game this season as Jubilo Iwata come to Level-5 Stadium.

Jubilo are a team who have spent most of their history in J1, and relegated into J2 last season, in a fairly surprising drop in division.
They don’t have the biggest fan-base in the world, but they do have money behind them, and are probably the highest wage bill in the division this season and will be expecting to go back up to J1.
We meet them as they have dropped in form a little bit and allowed Matsumoto to overtake them into 2nd place, and be eager to get back into winning ways.

Avispa have had a very rocky week, and while scoreless draws with 10-men against Shonan and Ehime aren’t the worst results, we are going into this match with Daisuke Ishizu having left on loan to Vissel Kobe (I’ll write more on this after the match), and both Korean central defenders suspended.

Ishizu will be seen as the bigger loss by the fans, but I think that potentially this will make the team work a little harder, while the loss of our defence (and Kwang Seon in particular) is going to be very hard to deal with.

Avispa News.
I don’t expect Ishizu to play. I am sure that he will probably want to , but it makes sense for everyone if he doesn’t. It helps Avispa move on, and the prospect of Ishizu getting injured before he even reaches Kobe is likely to see him watching from the stands.
This means that Hirai will probably stay in the team, with Sakata moving back up into a forward’s role either side of Sakai. Kanemori was our star man for about a month earlier in the season but as with all young players he can blow hot and cold and might be going through a cold spell at the moment.

The other option could be to move Jogo forward. He has been good at right-back, and has the potential to be very good there, but against Iwata there is the risk of exposing him and damaging his confidence trying his best in a new position. I would like to see Tsutsumi at right-back, I like the extra power it gives us and think is is quite good at getting forward and can deliver a ball, but with the Koreans out suspended it isn’t really an option this game. Mishima is the more likely option.
Basically even with Ishizu gone we have options in attack.

Somewhere we don’t have options is in midfield. Takeda returns from suspension, and should go straight into the team.
At the start of the season it would seem unlikely that Takeda could be one of our key starting members, and in a midfield position (he got relegated to J3 with Gainare at left-back last year), and is a player who I would hope would be trying to stay at the club beyond his loan next season and thanking Pusnik for the stimulus in his career.

Abe is obvious to continue at left-back, and has been doing better as he gains more faith in the back-3 and allows himself to go forward, but is now going to be looking back at a new back-3.

Our biggest concern in this game is the central defence where Koga and Kazuki are going to have to play. It is a huge concern, but it is also a huge opportunity for these players to show they should be in the team each week. A good performance against Iwata will mean they keep their place, something which should be obvious for high earning Koga, but he hasn’t done anything to prove he came to do anything other than retire at Avispa.

…..Predicted team…….
…………….Sakai………….
Sakata…………………….Hirai
……….Takeda…Nakahara………….
Abe………………………..Jogo
……Kazuki…Koga….Tsutsumi….
…………..Kamiyama…………..

………….Team I’d play…………
………….Hirai………..
……Kanamori….Jogo…..
…Sakata..Nakahara..Takeda
Abe……..Kazuki…….Mishima
……Koga……..Tsutsumi……
…………Kamiyama………….

Jubilo News.
Jubilo have the big names of the division in ex-National Team players Maeda and Matsui, with Matsui in particular a player I was looking forward to seeing.
Unfortunately for the casual fan both are unlikely to be playing after picking up injury and suspension.

I do think this is likely to help Avispa as Maeda has been a big trouble to us in the 4 times I’ve seen us previously (hard to forget the game when he basically caused Makoto Tanaka to retire), and Matsui can play the sort of midfield through-balls our defence can’t handle, but they do also have some good young players who are going to come in now and try to impress the manager.

My Prediction:

Avispa 2 : 1 Jubilo

I actually think Koga might roll back the years and pull out a big performance, and with Ishizu gone it will mean the rest of the players will work hard and try to fill the ‘idol’ gap now vacated.

Posted August 10, 2014 by avispafukuoka in Preview

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